Lobofan2003 Bracketology

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Mountain West Conference 2nd Half predictions

Posted by Lobofan2003 on February 5, 2016 at 11:30 PM Comments comments (0)

I have not had a chance to do a bracket yet this season, but I decided I would start this weekend. Until then, I will start by giving my predictions for final records for the conference I know best, the Mountain West.

Mountain West teams have been down this year and San Diego State has dominated thus far in conference play but I think there will still be intrigue in the conference tournament.

Predicted Conference Records/Order of Finish:

1. San Diego State (17-1): After a rough start to the season in non-conference play, the Aztecs have been on a role in conference play. With the down year for the conference, the Aztecs are going to have to avoid a bad loss in the regular season and the conference tournament in order to have a chance at an At-Large bid. I think the Aztecs will suffer a loss at some point, likely either at Fresno or to Boise or New Mexico

2. <tie> Boise State (13-5): Thanks to a win over an RPI Top 10 win against Oregon in the non-conference, Boise is the other team with an outside shot at an At-Large bid from the Mountain West. Boise is likely to have to get a win against the Aztecs to grab another quality win and improve on their RPI which is not where it needs to be to earn an At-Large. The Broncos are also going to have to avoid any losses to teams not in the Top 3 in the league. The Broncos have struggled, especially defensively, in recent games but with an experienced team I expect Boise to play well down the stretch.

2. <tie> New Mexico (13-5): A disastrous December means the Lobos are likely headed for the NIT with a good finish down the stretch. The Lobos have played well in conference play but two games remaining against the Aztecs loom large. A 3-1 road conference record thus far is impressive for a young team that is still improving and gelling. Transfers Elijah Brown and Tim Williams have really proved to be gems this season. 

4. Fresno State (11-7): Fresno pushed the Aztecs to OT in their first meeting and get another crack at them at home at the Save Mart Center. The Bulldogs are an enigma though, having lost to conference perennial celler dweller, San Jose State. Marevelle Harris is a real star for this team and should be 1st-team all Mountain West.

5. Nevada (10-8 ): Eric Musselman is doing a great job getting the Wolfpack program turned around, including a win over rival UNLV. We'll see if the Wolfpack have the chops to get over the hump and beat one of the teams in the top half of the conference

6. UNLV (9-9): The Rebels are always one of the most talented teams in the league, but they seem to consistently under-achieve. As such, they fired coach Dave Rice in the middle of the season and look to interim coach Todd Simon to keep the ship afloat the remainder of the season. Because of their talent level, and the fact the conference tournament is played on the Rebels home floor, the Rebels will be dangerous to win the confernece tournament in March

7. Colorado State (8-10): Had a chance to knock off the Aztecs in San Diego but came up just short. Had to replace four of their top scorers from last year; the Rams had hoped to reload, but this is looking more like a rebuilding year

8. Wyoming (6-12): Josh Adams is maybe the best player that nobody outside of the Mountain West has heard of. Adams is a leading scorer in the league and his worth is invaluable to the Cowboys. Unfortunantely the pieces around Adams just aren't there for the Cowboys to make a run through the conference tournament  as they did last year.

9. <tie> San Jose State (5-13): The Spartans, after not winning a conference game last year, have looked like they are showing signs of breaking out. Getting a win against a top half team in Fresno should instill a lot of confidence in this team to finish well down the stretch.

9. <tie> Utah State (5-13): The Aggies only have one win over a team in the top 150 in the RPI and have lost four in a row. This team misses Stew Morrill as head coach.

11. Air Force (2-16): Poor Falcons. They got a win over Wyoming this week and it still wasn't enough to pull them out of last place. Air Force won't be favored to win in any of their remaining games and I don't feel will win any of them.


I have predicted the finish order for the regular season and now for the WAY too early conference tournament prediction: Aztecs are going to be the heavy favorite to win, but the top seed hasn't won the past two years. Boise State lost in the conference final last year and will be looking to avoid being left out of the tournament again after getting snubbed last year. The Broncos have five seniors on their roster and a good scorer in Anthony Drmic. I am picking Boise State put it together come tournament time and win the MWC tournament.

Bracketology Selection Sunday-Final

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 15, 2015 at 2:15 AM Comments comments (2)

Last four out: Old Dominion, Indiana, UCLA, Miami

Making this my final bracket as it looks like SMU is going to beat UCONN.

 

 

Bracket-Selection Sunday FINAL

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 16, 2014 at 5:50 PM Comments comments (7)







Last Four Out: Cal, Florida State, Southern Miss, Minnesota

Next Four Out: Louisiana Tech, North Carolina State, Missouri, Green Bay


Final Seed List:


1. Florida
1. Arizona
1. Wichita State
1. Villanova
2. Michigan
2. Kansas
2. Virginia
2. Wisconsin
3. Duke
3. Iowa State
3. Michigan State
3. Louisville
4. Syracuse
4. Creighton
4. San Diego State
4. Cincinnati
5. North Carolina
5. Ohio State
5. UCLA
5. Virginia Commonwealth
6. New Mexico
6. Oklahoma
6. Connecticut
6. Kentucky
7. Saint Louis
7. Texas
7. Massachusetts
7. Oregon
8. Memphis
8. Baylor
8. Gonzaga
8. George Washington
9. Oklahoma State
9. Colorado
9. Pittsburgh
9. Saint Joseph's
10. Stanford
10. Kansas State
10. Arizona State
10. Iowa
11. Providence
11. Xavier
11. Dayton
11. Southern Methodist
11. Tennessee
12. Nebraska
12. Brigham Young
12. North Dakota State
12. Harvard
12. Western Michigan
13. Manhattan
13. New Mexico State
13. Stephen F. Austin
13. Delaware
14. Tulsa
14. Louisiana-Lafayette
14. Mercer
14. Eastern Kentucky
15. American
15. Wisconsin-Milwaukee
15. North Carolina Central
15. Weber State
16. Wofford
16. Albany
16. Coastal Carolina
16. Mount St. Mary's
16. Texas Southern
16. Cal Poly

Bracket Sun. AM

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 16, 2014 at 3:00 AM Comments comments (8)

Updated Seed List:


1. Florida
1. Arizona
1. Wichita State
1. Villanova
2. Michigan
2. Kansas
2. Virginia
2. Duke
3. Wisconsin
3. Iowa State
3. Michigan State
3. Louisville
4. Syracuse
4. Creighton
4. Cincinnati
4. San Diego State
5. North Carolina
5. Ohio State
5. Virginia Commonwealth
5. UCLA
6. New Mexico
6. Oklahoma
6. Connecticut
6. Kentucky
7. Saint Louis
7. Texas
7. Massachusetts
7. Oregon
8. Memphis
8. Baylor
8. Gonzaga
8. George Washington
9. Oklahoma State
9. Colorado
9. Pittsburgh
9. Stanford
10. Kansas State
10. Arizona State
10. Saint Joseph's
10. Iowa
11. Providence
11. Xavier
11. Dayton
11. Southern Methodist
11. Tennessee
12. Nebraska
12. Brigham Young
12. North Dakota State
12. Harvard
12. Western Michigan
13. Manhattan
13. New Mexico State
13. Stephen F. Austin
13. Delaware
14. Tulsa
14. Georgia State
14. Mercer
14. Eastern Kentucky
15. American
15. Wisconsin-Milwaukee
15. North Carolina Central
15. Weber State
16. Wofford
16. Albany
16. Coastal Carolina
16. Mount St. Mary's
16. Texas Southern

16. Cal Poly


I reserve the right to change these between now and the Selection show, but I honestly don't see these changing much, even with the Conference championships being played Sunday.

Bracket 3/13/14

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 13, 2014 at 1:05 AM Comments comments (11)


Last four out: Providence, Arkansas, Minnesota, St. John's

Next four out: Florida State, Missouri, Green Bay, Georgetown

Seed List:


1. Florida
1. Arizona
1. Wichita State
1. Villanova
2. Kansas
2. Michigan
2. Wisconsin
2. Syracuse
3. Virginia
3. Duke
3. Creighton
3. Iowa State
4. San Diego State
4. Cincinnati
4. Michigan State
4. Louisville
5. Oklahoma
5. North Carolina
5. Saint Louis
5. Ohio State
6. Texas
6. Connecticut
6. Massachusetts
6. Memphis
7. Kentucky
7. Virginia Commonwealth
7. Oregon
7. New Mexico
8. UCLA
8. Gonzaga
8. Baylor
8. George Washington
9. Iowa
9. Kansas State
9. Arizona State
9. Oklahoma State
10. Southern Methodist
10. Colorado
10. Pittsburgh
10. Stanford
11. Dayton
11. Tennessee
11. Saint Joseph's
11. Xavier
11. Brigham Young
12. California
12. Nebraska
12. Southern Miss
12. Toledo
12. North Dakota State
13. Harvard
13. Manhattan
13. Stephen F. Austin
13. Delaware
14. Georgia State
14. Mercer
14. Eastern Kentucky
14. California Irvine
15. American
15. Utah Valley
15. Wisconsin-Milwaukee
15. North Carolina Central
16. Wofford
16. Stony Brook
16. Weber State
16. Coastal Carolina
16. Alabama State
16. Mount St. Mary's

Bracket 3/9/14 AM

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 9, 2014 at 12:50 PM Comments comments (12)

Last four Out: Minnesota, Arkansas, Nebraska, Florida State

Next four Out: St. John's, Missouri, Georgetown, Green Bay

Seed List:

1. Florida

1. Arizona

1. Wichita State

1. Villanova

2. Kansas

2. Wisconsin

2. Michigan

2. Syracuse

3. Virginia

3. Duke

3. Creighton

3. Iowa State

4. San Diego State

4. Cincinnati

4. Michigan State

4. Louisville

5. Oklahoma

5. North Carolina

5. Saint Louis

5. Texas

6. Ohio State

6. Connecticut

6. Massachusetts

6. Memphis

7. Kentucky

7. Virginia Commonwealth

7. UCLA

7. New Mexico

8. Iowa

8. George Washington

8. Baylor

8. Kansas State

9. Gonzaga

9. Oregon

9. Arizona State

9. Southern Methodist

10. Colorado

10. Oklahoma State

10. Saint Joseph's

10. Pittsburgh

11. Stanford

11. Xavier

11. Dayton

11. Tennessee

11. Brigham Young

12. Providence

12. California

12. Southern Miss

12. Toledo

12. North Dakota State

13. Harvard

13. Stephen F. Austin

13. Delaware

13. Eastern Kentucky

14. Iona

14. Mercer

14. Georgia State

14. Boston University

15. Vermont

15. California Irvine

15. Davidson

15. Robert Morris

16. Utah Valley

16. Weber State

16. North Carolina Central

16. Wright State

16. Coastal Carolina

16. Alabama State

 

 



Bracket 3/4/14 11PM

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 4, 2014 at 11:45 PM Comments comments (3)

Last Four Out: Missouri, Arkansas, Florida State, Georgetown

Next Four Out: St. John's, Dayton, Nebraska, Richmond

Seed List:

 

1. Florida

1. Arizona

1. Wichita State

1. Kansas

2. Villanova

2. Wisconsin

2. Duke

2. Syracuse

3. Michigan

3. Virginia

3. Creighton

3. Cincinnati

4. Iowa State

4. San Diego State

4. Michigan State

4. Oklahoma

5. Texas

5. Louisville

5. Saint Louis

5. Ohio State

6. North Carolina

6. Kentucky

6. Connecticut

6. UCLA

7. Massachusetts

7. New Mexico

7. Virginia Commonwealth

7. Memphis

8. Iowa

8. Kansas State

8. George Washington

8. Arizona State

9. Gonzaga

9. Southern Methodist

9. Baylor

9. Saint Joseph's

10. Oklahoma State

10. Colorado

10. Stanford

10. Pittsburgh

11. California

11. Xavier

11. Oregon

11. Providence

11. Minnesota

12. Brigham Young

12. Tennessee

12. Southern Miss

12. Toledo

12. North Dakota State

13. Belmont

13. Green Bay

13. Harvard

13. Stephen F. Austin

14. Delaware

14. Iona

14. Mercer

14. Boston University

15. Georgia State

15. Vermont

15. California Irvine

15. Robert Morris

16. Davidson

16. Utah Valley

16. North Carolina Central

16. Weber State

16. High Point

16. Alabama State

 


Bracket 3/1/14

Posted by Lobofan2003 on March 2, 2014 at 1:40 AM Comments comments (8)

Hard to believe it is already March...let the madness begin.

For the first time I am only going to post my true seed line (S-curve) as things are likely to change after today's action:

1. Florida

1. Arizona

1. Wichita State

1. Syracuse

2. Kansas

2. Duke

2. Villanova

2. Creighton

3. Wisconsin

3. Michigan State

3. Michigan

3. Cincinnati

4. Virginia

4. San Diego State

4. Iowa State

4. Louisville

5. Texas

5. Ohio State

5. Saint Louis

5. Kentucky

6. UCLA

6. Massachusetts

6. North Carolina

6. Oklahoma

7. Iowa

7. New Mexico

7. Connecticut

7. Virginia Commonwealth

8. Memphis

8. Kansas State

8. Colorado

8. George Washington

9. California

9. Southern Methodist

9. Arizona State

9. Stanford

10. Pittsburgh

10. Baylor

10. Xavier

10. Gonzaga

11. Saint Joseph's

11. Minnesota

11. Oregon

11. Oklahoma State

11. Tennessee

12. Providence

12. Missouri

12. Southern Miss

12. Toledo

12. North Dakota State

13. Belmont

13. Green Bay

13. Harvard

13. Delaware

14. Stephen F. Austin

14. Iona

14. Mercer

14. Boston University

15. Georgia State

15. Vermont

15. California Irvine

15. Robert Morris

16. Davidson

16. Utah Valley

16. North Carolina Central

16. Weber State

16. High Point

16. Alabama State

 Last four out: Arkansas, BYU, St. John's, Florida State

Bracket 2/23/14

Posted by Lobofan2003 on February 23, 2014 at 8:10 PM Comments comments (10)

Last four teams out: St. John's, Tennessee, Dayton, Georgetown

Bracket 2/17/14-First of 2014

Posted by Lobofan2003 on February 18, 2014 at 1:40 AM Comments comments (0)

Last Four Out: Tennessee, St. John's, North Carolina State, Georgetown

Based on games played through 2/16

This is my first attempt at developing a bracket all season; the first ones are always the most difficult


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